The April 2023 MBS volatility presented a mixed bag of economic indicators and data in the banking crisis aftermath.
As central banks around the world maintain an aggressive policy stance, mortgage rates achieved their highest levels in over 10 years.
Taking a look back at August 2022 mortgage rates, mortgage-backed securities continued to soar amongst stubbornly high inflation levels.
While this week’s Jackson Hole Economic Symposium failed to cause much reaction, mortgage rates ended the week a little higher. However, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speak did allude to greater inflation consequences. Jackson Hole Economic Symposium Alludes to “Some Pain” In a highly anticipated speech from the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, Fed Chair Powell alluded to the inflation outlook. In his address, Powell mentioned that the consequences of not aggressively fighting inflation produce a worse scenario than the effects of tightening monetary policy. Overall, he said that tightening monetary policy includes "some pain" for households and businesses. Powell repeated that future decisions depend on incoming economic data. Despite that announcement, he chose not to include specific guidance. Investors remain divided about whether the Fed raises the federal funds rate by 50 or 75 basis points at the September 21st meeting. Core PCE Climbs but Falls Below Consensus Forecast As the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium pointed towards inflation, core PCE climbed slightly year-over-year. In July 2022, core PCE increased 4.6% from a year ago. Not only did this fall below the consensus forecast, core PCE declined from a peak of 5.3% in February. As the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation indicator, [...]
Although the latest core PCE met expectations, investors grow increasingly concerned with slowing global economic growth.
This week, mortgage rates continued their shockingly swift while Powell tightened monetary policy further.