Freddie Mac reported that average mortgage rates rose in the week through June 27, with 30-yrs hitting 4.46%, from 3.93% the prior week. This was the largest weekly increase in 26 years. While the survey results are released on Thursday, the timing of the data collection means that the data better reflects changes from Monday to Monday or Tuesday to Tuesday than Thursday to Thursday each week. The Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) is sent on Monday with a response due back by Wednesday. Most responses are completed and submitted on Monday or Tuesday. The responses are averaged and the results are released on Thursday. The survey results, therefore, reflect the average rate and points borrowers were being offered on Monday and/or early Tuesday. Changes in the market since Monday/Tuesday can make the published data misleading when compared to rates and points actually being offered on Thursday. This week, mortgage rates have improved substantially since the survey period earlier in the week. If the survey were conducted this morning, the results for 30-yr rates would be 20 to 25 basis points lower.
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We have received a few questions today about why mortgage-backed securities (MBS) prices do not show the same drop in prices as seen from the Fannie Mae window. The reason is that Fannie Mae, this morning, built into their whole loan prices an increase in their required guarantee fee (G-fee). Since G-fees are paid from the borrower's loan rate and not by the owner of an MBS, MBS prices are unaffected by a change in G-fees. Most lender rate sheets began reflecting the increase in G-fees over the last few weeks, depending on lock term and delivery method.