Below is a collection of articles, news, and announcements associated with our industry.

Posts Tagged ‘investors’

BlogTalkRadio Podcast – June 14, 2010

Thursday, June 17th, 2010

Stock Market VolatilityThis week on BlogTalkRadio/Lykken-on-Lending:

What drives mortgage rates?  Inflation and uncertainty.  Inflation is not present right now and according to the majority of the Federal Open Market Committee members it is not expected to be much of a concern for the near future.  Uncertainty, though, is alive and well.  Continuation of the recent economic improvement in the US is considered anything but certain.  Global economic growth has been a question mark.  The ability of several European nations to satisfy their debt obligations is uncertain.  This uncertainty has resulted in tremendous volatility in the stock market, which has caused tremendous volatility in mortgage-backed securities prices. Daily, global headlines suggest to  investors its time to shift assets to more or less risky investments.  That is what happened last week.  After reaching the highest level of the year, mortgage-backed security prices were beat down on Thursday based on headlines from Australia, China, and Europe, all which suggested improving economic conditions.  Investors sold low risk bonds and bought higher risk stocks.  The Dow gained 270 points.  MBS prices lost 25/32nds.   This pattern has been in place now since April when the European debt crisis raised its ugly head.  Look for volatility in mortgage-backed security prices; and therefore, mortgage rates to remain high as long as the economic outlook remains so uncertain.

Click PLAY to listen to the podcast of this week’s BlogTalkRadio/Lykken on Lending with Dave Lykken and MBSQuoteline’s Joe Farr :

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MBSQuoteline supplies the essential market information necessary for effective decision making by Originators when assisting borrowers during the loan origination process, and for secondary marketing departments while managing pipelines. For additional information or to sign up for a free 2-week trial subscription, visit www.MBSQuoteline.com or call (800) 627-1107.

Tune in every Monday at 1:00pm(et)  for up-to-the-minute information on interest rates, loan programs and “hot” industry news related to the mortgage industry. Dial: (646) 716-4972 or log in at: www.blogtalkradio.com/lykken-on-lending

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In The News: “Skin in the Game” – Risk Retention Amendment to Senate Bill 3217

Friday, May 21st, 2010

Senate Bill 3217 Restoring American Financial Stability is working its way through the Senate and is expected to be passed in the coming weeks.  Certain provisions of this bill will have a significant impact on the mortgage industry.

As you may recall, the Senate Bill 3217, as originally proposed, included a provision which would have required 5% of the risk on all loans originated be retained by the originator upon sale to investors.  The provision was not clear as to which entity or entities in the origination chain would be required to retain the risk.  It was not clear whether the risk that was to be retained would be an ownership interest in the loan or reserves supported by cash.   It was also not clear how long the originator would have been required to retain the risk.  The original provisions would have been devastating to the mortgage industry.  The 5% risk retention would have forced many mortgage originators from the business and would have driven mortgage rates much higher.  After significant industry efforts, this provision was amended last week.

The amendment, as passed by the Senate, does very little to answer these questions, but what it does do is exempt Qualifying Mortgage Loans from the requirement to retain risk.  Qualifying Mortgage Loans are defined as loans that are originated using thorough underwriting procedures and which have terms that are very basic.  Think today’s Fannie, Freddie and FHA/VA loans.  Think jumbo loans originated under guidelines similar to Fannie and Freddie guidelines.  The vast majority of loans originated in today’s market will meet the Qualified Mortgage Loans definition.  This is a good thing.

There are still issues with the risk retention provisions of Senate Bill 3217, even as amended.  Because the exemption to risk retention only applies to Qualified Mortgage Loans, there will be little room for innovation or for new mortgage loan programs in the future.   This is probably the desired result from the lawmakers’ perspective.  New programs will have to meet the Qualified Mortgage Loans definition or the interest rates for the new programs will have to be much higher to pay for the 5% risk retention.  Many of the special programs created over the last decade were simply not good for the borrower and were too risky for the investor.   Senate Bill 3217 will make it unlikely that anything resembling those programs will ever come back.  But many of the special programs, when used for the right borrower, were perfectly sound programs.  As an example, stated income programs made sense when used for high-earning self-employed professionals with low LTVs.  Even pick-a-pay loans made sense for the right borrowers.

Senate Bill 3217 is not yet law.  It must first be passed by the full Senate and then go through a reconciliation process with the House version of the financial reform bill before it will be final.  The risk retention provisions of Senate Bill 3217, as amended and if passed, will have a significant effect on the mortgage industry going forward.  As amended, though, we can at least expect to have an industry to affect.

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BlogTalkRadio Podcast – May 17, 2010

Thursday, May 20th, 2010

Senate Bill 3217 Restoring American Financial Stability was the focus of discussion on the show Monday, particularly two recently passed amendments which are of great interest to the mortgage banking industry.  The amendments deal with risk retention and loan officer compensation.  One is good for the industry and the other is not.  Glen Corso, Executive Director of The Community Mortgage Banking Project, joined the show to bring a first hand understanding of the amendments and their status.

The amendment that is good for the mortgage industry deals with the risk retention provisions of the original  bill.  The original bill would have required mortgage originators to retain “skin in the game”.  It would have required originators to retain 5% of the risk on all the loans they originated and sold to investors.  The amendment exempts from the 5% risk retention requirement certain mortgage loans which meet the definition of Qualified Mortgage Loans.  Since 90% or more of today’s loans will meet the definition of Qualified Mortgage Loan, the amendment significantly reduces the number of loans on which originators will be required to retain risk.

The amendment that is not good for the mortgage industry restricts how loan originators are to be compensated.  Glen Corso explained that this amendment was introduced Tuesday evening last week and passed on Wednesday morning, giving Glen and other industry advocates little time to discuss its drawbacks with Senators.  The amendment restricts paying commission based on the terms of the loan, which likely means no overage or yield spread premium.

The Senate Bill is not yet law.  It must first be passed by the full Senate and then go through a reconciliation with the House version of a  financial reform bill before it will be final.

We will discuss the risk retention amendment and the loan officer compensation amendment in further detail in separate posts later this week.

Click PLAY to listen to the podcast of this week’s BlogTalkRadio/Lykken on Lending with Dave Lykken and MBSQuoteline’s Joe Farr :

MBSQuoteline supplies the essential market information necessary for effective decision making by Originators when assisting borrowers during the loan origination process, and for secondary marketing departments while managing pipelines. For additional information or to sign up for a free 2-week trial subscription, visit www.MBSQuoteline.com or call (800) 627-1107.

Tune in every Monday at 1:00pm(et)  for up-to-the-minute information on interest rates, loan programs and “hot” industry news related to the mortgage industry. Dial: (646) 716-4972 or log in at: www.blogtalkradio.com/lykken-on-lending

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In The News: Why Greece Matters for the US Mortgage Industry

Thursday, May 13th, 2010

The economic troubles of Greece have been in the news frequently in recent weeks. Its ability to recover from significant budget deficits and to pay its debts has been questioned and the government debt of Greece has been downgraded. The economy of Greece is tiny, however. The problem is that investors are concerned that other smaller European countries will reveal similar problems. Financial institutions and other private investors have become very reluctant to buy the government debt of these countries, requiring very high yields to do so. The fear is that as the problem grows, banks will become increasingly selective about lending worldwide, as they did during the subprime mortgage crisis.

The clear solution is for the Greek government to cut spending, but this takes time and is politically unpopular to accomplish, while the reduced access to credit markets has already taken place. Last week, the European Union (EU) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) agreed on a $146 billion economic aid package for Greece to allow enough time for the country to stabilize. Still, Greek workers responded to proposed austerity measures with strikes and protests. Financial markets in Europe continued to fall as investors were skeptical that the bailout package would succeed.

Monday, the EU and the IMF surprised investors with the announcement that they will make available up to $1 trillion to support Greece and other EU members which are experiencing economic troubles. This enormous amount of aid demonstrates the commitment of the stronger European countries to maintaining the European Union and allowing the weaker countries time to recover. The Euro currency strengthened against the dollar and other currencies, and global stock markets rallied strongly.

US mortgage markets were helped by the troubles in Greece in two primary ways. First, in response to the uncertainty in Europe, investors shifted funds to safer investments, including US Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities (MBS). Second, investors expect that continued economic turmoil in Europe will reduce US exports to the region, slowing US economic growth and reducing inflationary pressures. Increased demand for MBS and lower future inflation are both positive for mortgage markets.

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BlogTalkRadio Podcast – Mar 29, 2010

Thursday, April 22nd, 2010

MBS prices were volatile last week and fell about half a point during the week.  Most of the push for MBS prices lower came from weak Treasury auctions.  On Wednesday the 5 Yr Treasury Note received lower than usual demand, especially from foreign investors, and the yield required from the bidders was higher than the previous trading range.  The weakness in the Treasury auction spilled over to the MBS market.  The economic data released during the week was mixed with Durable Orders better than expected and the housing data was a little weaker than expected.

All of the focus in Congress now that Health Care has passed seems to be with the Restoring American Financial Stability Act of 2010.  This proposed law will have sweeping changes for the mortgage industry, if passed.  It includes the creation of a new regulator for consumer protection, retention of 5% of the risk on loans originated and then sold, and increased HMDA reporting requirements, among other things.  This 1300 page bill seems to be on a fast track.

Discussion continued on the risks and benefits of converting a mortgage company’s operations from a best efforts delivery of loans originated to a mandatory delivery.  The focus of this week’s discussion was on the importance of good data and the need for additional data collection points.  Accurate and timely data on loans in pipeline and closed loans is essential to effectively hedging the interest rate risk associated with mandatory delivery of loans, special guest Rob Katz of Del Mar DataTrac explained.  Also critical to effectively managing the risk, is the need to have a centralized lock desk to communicate with investors.  Having loan originators lock directly with investors may work in a best efforts environment, but not so in with mandatory delivery.

Click PLAY to listen to the podcast of this week’s BlogTalkRadio/Lykken on Lending with Dave Lykken and MBSQuoteline’s Joe Farr :

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